Saturday 3 June 2017

No Mercy for Carlow

Another bumper weekend of GAA action is upon us as the pace really picks up in the provincial championship races. We have football action from Leinster and Ulster starting from Saturday while on Sunday it’s the Muster hurling semi final. We have considered all the betting markets available and have some tasty selections that will hopefully put some cash in your pocket this bank holiday weekend.

Dublin vs Carlow - Saturday 19:00 Sky Sports
All Ireland Champs Dublin make their first appearance on Saturday with a matchup against Carlow. Facing Dublin at any stage for Carlow is a daunting task, but playing them first up after a last gasp league final defeat to Kerry is simply frightening.  Jim Gavin has an abundance of talent available to him, and U21 star Con O’Callaghan gets his start this weekend. He will be out to impress along with a host of others and you can be sure Dublin will look to a fast start.
At 1/500 on for the win we need to look elsewhere for some value. And what catches our eye is the half time handicap market. Looking back to previous Dublin games at this stage, in 2015 they were 16pts up against Longford at the half while the margin in 2016 was 11pts against Laois. The even money available on Dublin -8pts at half time looks the way to go and we advise a 3pt stake. (Boyles or PP)

Down vs Armagh - Sunday at 14:00 RTE
A competitive game is expected between these two neighbours on Sunday, with Armagh slight favourites for the win. Looking at their respective league campaigns Armagh were arguably the best team in division 3 but were very unlucky not to gain promotion, while Down held onto their division 2 status courtesy of a late draw against Cork. Armagh scored 15-103 during the league and this was helped no doubt by the return of coffee loving Jamie Clarke.
Down still have plenty of question marks about their defence and  veteran defender Aidan Carr faces a late fitness test. How they deploy Kevin McKernan will also be key but we expect him to be named in the forwards but spend most of his time in defence. Its 25 years since Down’s last championship victory over Armagh,  and we think their wait will continue on Sunday.  Armagh have too much firepower for Down and the  even money available with Paddy Power is the selection here, and we will have 2pts on that.

Clare vs Limerick – Sunday 16:00 Sky Sports
An intriguing game is in store this Sunday in Tom Semples field down Tipperary way. The Munster Championship exploded into life two weeks ago and the hurling purists are expecting similar excitement this Sunday. Clare, warm favourites for this at 1/2 are a tad short given the unpredictability of the hurling championship so far. Looking back at the National League, a number of interesting trends emerge. If we strip down Limericks campaign to their games against stronger opposition (Wexford, Galway(x2) and Cork), a feature of their play has been their doggedness in defence and inefficiency in attack. None of their games against stronger opposition contained more than two goals. Likewise with Clare, they have been quite defensively solid this league campaign, only conceded three goals in their six league games while none of their games featured more than three goals. Their clash in the 2016 championship finished goalless with Clare winning 0-19 to 0-15. Based on this, our selection here is a 3 point stake on Under 3.5 goals at 8/11 with Ladbrokes.